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August 12, 2024 View Online | Sign Up | Shop

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The Pets Table

Good afternoon. The last day of the Paris Olympics was on Sunday, and since we don’t do weekends here at Brew Markets, let’s run this bit back one more time.

Here are some of the wildest tidbits from the final days of the Olympics:

  • Noah Lyles won a bronze medal in the men’s 200 meter race, despite having Covid. When we got Covid, we couldn’t have made it 200 inches out of our beds.
  • Many athletes discovered that the Olympic Village offers comprehensive free healthcare to competitors, so after their events they would schedule appointments with cardiologists, opthamologists, and even dentists.
  • Snoop Dogg dominated Olympics coverage this summer thanks to NBC hiring him out for a reported $500,000 per day, plus expenses. No wonder he could afford those sweet matching outfits with his BFF Martha Stewart.
  • Oh, yeah, and the Seine was never safe to swim in after all.

—Mark Reeth & Lucy Brewster

MARKETS

Nasdaq

16,780.61

S&P

5,344.39

Dow

39,357.01

10-Year

3.909%

Gold

$2,510.40

Oil

$79.67

Data is provided by

*Stock data as of market close. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Stocks started the day strong but sputtered out by midafternoon, with investors unable to shake the feeling that the Federal Reserve may have missed a soft landing after all. The Dow spent all day in the red, the S&P 500 fell into negative territory before closing flat, and the Nasdaq nearly squandered all of its gains but finished the trading session just barely in the green.
  • Treasury yields fell just a bit as investors turned their attention to Wednesday’s CPI print for more details about the Fed’s next move.
  • Investors braced themselves for any bad inflation news by turning to gold, which reached a 10-day high today.
  • Oil rocketed above $80 per barrel today on the news that the Pentagon has ordered a guided missile submarine to head for the Middle East as tensions there ratchet higher.
 

DEALS

Starbucks & Elliott bury the hatchet

The Starbucks logo NurPhoto/Getty Images

Typically, investors buy shares in a company because they believe in the firm’s strategy, leadership, and vision for the future.

But what about when investors are buying shares because they hate how the company operates?

That’s the question that Starbucks executives had to answer after activist investing firm Elliot Investment Management set its sights on a board seat, taking a stake in the coffee giant last month.

Elliott Management, which has roughly $65 billion in assets, has amassed a position in Starbucks worth about $2 billion, according to CNBC, and the firm has floated various options for improving the beleaguered company’s performance. The home of the Frappucino has fallen on hard times this year as it shifts more toward take-out orders and faces slowing demand internationally. The chain reported in April that same-store sales had fallen for the first time in nearly three years.

After months of internal discussions, CNBC reported that Starbucks’ board of directors and Elliot are in the final stages of talks to end the corporate feud. The discussions could result in Jesse Cohn, one of Elliot’s managing partners, becoming a board member at Starbucks, with current Starbucks CEO Laxman Narasimhan being allowed to stay at the helm. Other parts of the agreement would include a potential board expansion and governance improvements. However, nothing is finalized yet.

So what actually are activist investors?

Activist investors are investment firms (usually hedge funds) that target and invest in companies, and then lobby the company they invested in to switch up how they do business.

The goals of activist investors can vary from policy changes, like pushing an oil company to streamline its carbon emissions goals, to a focus on improving the business and juicing stock market returns, like trying to oust a current chief executive.

Usually, activist investors are hedge funds that buy a minority stake in a firm, and then use either a public or internal pressure campaign to achieve their aims. If activist investors can’t use the power of persuasion to reach executives, they often opt to conduct a proxy war for seats on a company’s board of directors. In the case of Elliot and Starbucks, it looks like they may have been successful.—LB

   

PRESENTED BY THE PETS TABLE

Your dogs are what they eat

The Pets Table

That ol’ saying really holds up. Studies show that maintaining a healthy weight can add up to 2.5 years (!!!) to your dog’s life. And a healthy weight starts with a healthy diet.

That’s why The Pets Table offers human-grade, fresh, and minimally processed air-dried recipes. And JSYK, that’s not what you get with dry food.

Traditional kibble is often *highly* processed at blazing temps that deplete the food’s nutritional value and flavor. Plus, what’s lost during processing is sometimes replaced with cheap fillers and synthetics to make the food look and smell more appetizing.

You won’t find any artificial flavors, colors, or added fillers in The Pets Table food. Each recipe is formulated with an on-staff Board Certified Vet Nutritionist® and made to retain the food’s natural goodness.

Try The Pets Table today and get 50% off your first box. If it’s not the right fit, no sweat. They offer a 100% money-back guarantee.

HEARD ON THE STREET

Quote of the day

“I think [a bear market] is probably coming, but probably in 2025. We now know what will cause it.”

Investors are feeling a bit nervous these days, and Quantum Strategy’s David Roche isn’t helping. The strategist told CNBC earlier today that there’s a downturn a’ brewin, and there are three key ingredients to this recipe for disaster.

First, the Fed won’t cut rates as quickly as the market would like. Next, as the economy slows down, corporate profits will suffer. Finally, Roche thinks the AI bubble will burst. What does all that add up to?

“I think there is enough in those three factors to cause a bear market of minus 20% in 2025, maybe starting at the end of this year,” he said.

STOCKS

The biggest winners and losers on the stock market today

🟢 What’s up

  • Nvidia jumped 4.08% after it was named a top “rebound” stock by Bank of America.
  • Keycorp leaped 9.24% on the news that the Bank of Nova Scotia will invest $2.8 billion in the company.
  • Robinhood Markets rose 3.46% due to an upgrade from Piper Sandler analysts who say the company’s sudden decline gives it an attractive entry point.
  • Monday.com popped 14.78% thanks to a strong earnings report from the software maker, due in no small part to sealing the largest deal in company history.
  • Barrick Gold soared 9.36% after beating earnings estimates on both the top and bottom lines thanks to the rising price of gold.

What’s down

CRYPTO

Will bitcoin's tough month get worse?

Bitcoin B Credit is NurPhoto/Getty Images

If you think the stock market had a crazy week, just wait until you hear about what’s going on with bitcoin.

Bitcoin’s selloff began last weekend when the cryptocurrency dropped 20%, plummeting from over $60,000 on August 3 to below $50,000 by August 5, its lowest price since February of this year. The drop coincided with a widespread market meltdown, largely due to fear of a US recession, Japan’s index plunging, and geopolitical instability in the Middle East.

Then, the digital asset recovered by the end of last week, rising back above $61,000 last Thursday—before dropping again over the weekend and this morning.

Right now, Bitcoin’s sitting at about $59,000.

The wild price fluctuations are a stark reminder that cryptocurrency tends to roughly correspond with equity markets, even though many have argued that bitcoin is a hedge against volatility elsewhere in the market.

“Sharp market pullbacks can feed on themselves in crypto, creating a downward cycle that needs to exhaust itself before we bottom. That's because, as prices drop, leveraged traders face margin calls and are forced to sell,” wrote Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, in a note last week.

Is the drop a buying opportunity?

Don’t expect crypto prices to stabilize anytime soon (or ever, some would argue).

“The market is so fragile right now that any hint of selling pressure leads to multiples of actual selling ahead of the forced selling,” wrote Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer at Arca, last week.

But some analysts argue that even though crypto is volatile, the recent selloff had more to do with external economic factors—and that if you’re a long-term believer in cryptocurrency, you shouldn’t back out now.

“​​If you were ever bullish on the market, there’s no reason you should be less bullish today after this week’s events,” Dorman wrote last week. In a note today, he called the market drop last week, “One of the dumbest sell-offs in history, certainly in terms of magnitude, as it was entirely technically driven.”

The bottom line? Crypto is a speculative asset, and most financial experts agree it shouldn’t comprise more than 5% of your portfolio. This past week’s ups and downs weren’t enough to spook many bitcoin bulls, but if you decide to jump into crypto investing, be ready for a wild ride. —LB

   

TOGETHER WITH THE PETS TABLE

The Pets Table

Show your some love. We aren’t talking about extra walks or belly rubs. We’re talking about food that’s minimally processed, highly nutritional, and actually looks like real food (because it is). The Pets Table offers human-grade recipes made without artificial flavors or added fillers. Get 50% off your first box.

NEWS

What's going on in financial markets today
  • Yet another subscription to add to your collection—but this one’s from Chuck E. Cheese.
  • Utility stocks have soared thanks to AI data center demand, and analysts don’t see a slowdown anytime soon.
  • The idea of a strategic bitcoin reserve has some flaws.
  • The way the Treasury Department funds the US debt may be undermining the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.
  • New rules for realtors go into effect this week, which will either change real estate forever or do absolutely nothing, depending on who you ask.
  • Last week’s selloff has left dozens of stocks significantly undervalued, including British American Tobacco, Wayfair, and Western Union.

CALENDAR

What is happening in the world of finance tomorrow

The Producer Price Index, or PPI, measures the change in price that US producers receive for their goods and services. In layman's terms, it measures inflation for manufacturers. It measures wholesale inflation, rather than CPI, which measures inflation for individual consumers—but make no mistake, if things are getting more expensive for the companies making stuff, it’ll eventually get more expensive for you to buy their stuff.

Unfortunately, while inflation has been decelerating for consumers, it shows no signs of slowing for producers. PPI rose 2.6% year over year in June, up from a 2.4% gain in May. Economists expected PPI to rise another 2.3% year over year in July.

Before the open

  • Home Depot (HD) is a key earnings report to watch, sitting at the crossroads between consumer spending and the housing market. The stock enjoyed a strong surge ever since the pandemic, when people trapped in their houses felt the need to renovate their homes, but shares are basically flat this year thanks to shareholder fears that all that remodel spending has dried up. In short, this report will define Home Depot’s direction for the rest of the year. Consensus: $4.50 EPS, $43.38 billion in revenue.
  • Tencent Music Entertainment (TME) is a subsidiary of Tencent Holdings, the Chinese tech giant. TME is a dominant force in the Chinese music industry, but has been looking to expand abroad for some time now. It owns 8.6% of Spotify, ownership that Spotify reciprocates with 8.6% of TME, and recently struck a deal with Universal Music Group to further expand its international reach. Shareholders will want to hear more of the company’s growth plans during this call. Consensus: $0.16 EPS, $996.68 million in revenue.

JUST FOR FUN

No phone for you

Olympic skateboarders taking selfie with Samsung phone on podium in Paris. Kirill Kudryavtsev/Getty Images

If you’ve noticed a lot of athletes taking selfies together on the podium, that’s all part of Samsung’s latest marketing scheme. The phone giant has been handing Galaxy Z Flip6 Olympic Edition smartphones to winning athletes alongside their medals in order to snag some free publicity.

The stunt has worked well, particularly after a headline-grabbing selfie between the North Korean and South Korean mixed doubles table tennis teams. The two countries have some serious history, so the show of sportsmanship and camaraderie has been applauded far and wide.

Unfortunately for the North Korean team, that selfie was as close as they’ll get to the new limited-edition Samsung smartphone.

While other athletes get to keep the phone, according to the South Korean Foreign Ministry, the giveaway would violate UN sanctions against North Korea under Security Council Resolution 2397. That resolution prevents the supply of "all industrial machinery" to North Korea, and considering Samsung is based in South Korea, it seems likely that the company will toe the line and keep the phones at home.

So much for the Olympic spirit.—MR

   
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